What does research say about PFAS, TCE and kidney cancer?
ATSDR, part of CDC, found “sufficient evidence for causation” between the chemical TCE and kidney cancer. TCE was one of the chemicals in the water at Camp Lejeune. For PFAS, ATSDR says kidney cancer may be linked to exposure. A link is not proof that PFAS caused any one person’s cancer.
ATSDR based its finding on its Camp Lejeune studies plus studies of other people exposed to TCE at work or where they lived. It also says not everyone who is exposed will get sick. The National Cancer Institute states that “Prolonged or repeated exposure of trichloroethylene causes kidney cancer.”
ATSDR lists kidney cancer among health effects “potentially associated with PFAS exposure.” In an NCI study of 324 people with kidney cancer and 324 without it, risk rose as blood levels of the PFAS chemical PFOA went up. A later NCI study in a more diverse group found no link overall.
In the federal firefighting foam cases, the companies asked the judge in 2025 to keep out experts on cause in the first injury test cases, which included kidney cancer claims. After that trial was put off, the judge denied those requests without deciding them. In the foam case records we checked, we found no court ruling that PFAS causes kidney cancer.
In June 2026, three of the four Camp Lejeune judges ruled on what standard experts may use to judge cause. They said experts may use the law’s “at least as likely as not” standard. A fourth judge will decide this in her own cases. That order did not decide whether the water caused any illness.