Litigation outcomes

Bellwether Scoreboard

A dated record of verdicts, settlements, rulings, and bankruptcies. It shows the file—not a prediction of any individual outcome.

NEC Baby Formula (Similac/Enfamil)

5 events

Bellwether W–L

2–1

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

$277,500,000

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Jul 2, 2026	Bellwether verdict	Collins v. Mead Johnson (Missouri state court, St. Louis): jury returned a full defense verdict for Mead Johnson in an NEC trial brought by Cadence Collins over her daughter's NEC after Enfamil Premature 24 — decided on specific causation, less than three weeks after the Watson reversal. No damages awarded. Verified via CityAM report of the July 2, 2026 verdict quoting the company statement.defense	—	—	Read ↗
Jun 12, 2026	Ruling	Watson $60M verdict REVERSED: Appellate Court of Illinois, Fifth District (2026 IL App (5th) 240936, filed 06/12/26) reversed and remanded for a new trial. Panel held the trial court erred on the learned-intermediary doctrine (duty to warn runs to physicians, not the mother) and admitted excessive evidence of Mead Johnson's finances, tainting the trial. Verified directly from the appellate opinion PDF (court record via CourtListener).defense	$60,000,000	—	Read ↗
May 6, 2026	Ruling	Gill $495M verdict UPHELD: Missouri appellate court on May 6, 2026 affirmed the full $495 million award ($95M compensatory / $400M punitive) against Abbott, calling Abbott's conduct 'significantly reprehensible' and finding it failed to warn consumers or change formula ingredients. Abbott said it strongly disagrees and will seek further appellate review (Missouri Supreme Court). Verified via wire story on Yahoo Finance; the appeals court subsequently declined to transfer the case to the Missouri Supreme Court (June 2026, per search results — transfer denial not independently fetch-verified).plaintiff	$495,000,000	—	Read ↗
Jul 26, 2024	Bellwether verdict	Gill v. Abbott (St. Louis, MO state court): jury (9 of 12) awarded $495 million — $95M compensatory + $400M punitive — to Margo Gill, whose daughter Robynn developed NEC after being fed Abbott's cow's-milk-based preterm Similac formula at Cardinal Glennon Children's Hospital following premature birth in 2021. Largest NEC formula verdict to date. Verified via First Alert 4 (KMOV St. Louis) local press.plaintiff	$495,000,000	—	Read ↗
Mar 14, 2024	Bellwether verdict	Watson v. Mead Johnson (St. Clair County, IL Circuit Court, No. 21-L-1032): unanimous jury awarded Jasmine Watson $60 million on strict-liability failure-to-warn and negligence claims over the NEC death of premature infant Chance Dean fed Enfamil Premature 24 — first NEC formula trial verdict in the nation. Verdict amount and claims independently confirmed by the Illinois appellate opinion (2026 IL App (5th) 240936). Date per plaintiff-firm Keller Postman announcement (law-firm source — flagged; amount court-record-confirmed).plaintiff	$60,000,000	—	Read ↗

Hair Relaxer Cancer Lawsuits

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Jul 1, 2026	Ruling	Scheduling posture in MDL-3060 (N.D. Ill., Judge Mary Rowland): the court took direct control of bellwether selection (April 2026), scrapping the party alternating-picks system; bellwether fact discovery closed June 10, 2026; case-specific Daubert and summary judgment motions due Nov 16, 2026; first trials broadly expected 2027. 11,877 cases pending as of July 1, 2026 (fourth-largest MDL). No verdicts or settlements yet. CAVEAT: documented only via litigation-tracker blogs (llamalab.ai, mdlupdate.com) — last-resort sources, no court record or major-press confirmation fetched.	—	—	Read ↗

Depo-Provera Brain Tumor Lawsuits

2 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Jun 16, 2026	Global settlement	Global settlement tentatively reached in principle in MDL-3140 (N.D. Fla.) between Pfizer defendants and plaintiffs' lead counsel over Depo-Provera meningioma claims. Financial terms NOT disclosed; eligibility and compensation amounts not released; deal pending finalization. 5,500+ consolidated cases at announcement (5,830 by July 1, 2026); the MDL case management conference was postponed to late July 2026 while negotiations continue. Source: Drugwatch litigation timeline (consumer legal-news site; no settlement amount is documented anywhere, so none is reported).mixed	—	—	Read ↗
Jun 15, 2026	Partial settlement	Settlement in principle announced; docket had grown +1,739 filings (+46%) in the single preceding month — the leading-indicator pattern.	—	—	Read ↗

Rideshare Sexual Assault (Uber/Lyft)

2 events

Bellwether W–L

1–0–1 M

Plaintiff–defense–mixed

Avg. verdict

$4,252,500

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Apr 20, 2026	Bellwether verdict	Uber MDL bellwether in Charlotte, NC: federal jury found the driver committed battery (not sexual assault) for grabbing a passenger's inner thigh and awarded $5,000; Judge Charles Breyer had ruled Uber qualifies as a 'common carrier' under North Carolina law with heightened liability for driver misconduct — Uber vowed to appeal. (Fortune also reports an intervening California bellwether where Uber was found not liable.)mixed	$5,000	—	Read ↗
Feb 6, 2026	Bellwether verdict	First bellwether trial in Uber passenger sexual assault MDL-3084: an Arizona federal jury awarded plaintiff Jaylynn Dean $8.5 million, finding her driver was an 'apparent agent' of Uber, while rejecting negligence and defective-safety-system claims (plaintiffs had sought $144M); Uber said it would appeal.plaintiff	$8,500,000	—	Read ↗

Camp Lejeune Water Contamination

3 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

$297,323

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Mar 10, 2026	Partial settlement	DOJ approved 649 Elective Option settlement offers totaling $175M over three weeks (avg ~$270k each); cumulative since the program's 2023 launch: 2,531 offers approved, ~$708M, with over $421M paid since Jan 20, 2025. Verified via WCTI-12 (ABC affiliate) local news report dated 2026-03-10.plaintiff	$175,000,000	$269,645	Read ↗
Feb 6, 2024	Ruling	Four EDNC district judges ruled CLJA plaintiffs have no right to jury trials against the government, holding Congress 'did not clearly and unequivocally' depart from its practice of not permitting jury trials against the United States; all Camp Lejeune cases proceed as bench trials. No CLJA case had reached trial or verdict as of mid-2026. Verified via Roll Call.defense	—	—	Read ↗
Sep 6, 2023	Partial settlement	Navy and DOJ launched the Elective Option, a voluntary expedited-payout framework for qualifying CLJA administrative claims: Tier 1 (kidney, liver, bladder cancer; NHL; leukemia) $150k-$450k and Tier 2 (multiple myeloma, Parkinson's, ESRD, systemic sclerosis) $100k-$400k depending on exposure length, plus $100k for death claims. Verified via Military.com report on the announcement.	—	$325,000	Read ↗

Paragard IUD Lawsuit

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–1

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Feb 4, 2026	Bellwether verdict	First Paragard bellwether (Rickard v. Teva, MDL-2974, N.D. Georgia): jury returned a complete defense verdict for Teva on Feb 4, 2026, rejecting Pauline Rickard's claims that Teva failed to warn about the copper IUD breaking during removal. First of three planned bellwethers; 3,800+ similar suits pending in the MDL. Second bellwether pushed to fall 2026. Verified via Reuters wire story (Sahm Capital reprint) and Drugwatch.defense	—	—	Read ↗

Paraquat Parkinson’s

3 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Jan 27, 2026	Partial settlement	Syngenta settled the Bill Mertens Philadelphia bellwether on the eve of what would have been the first public paraquat/Parkinson's trial; amount undisclosed. Per the report, Syngenta has settled every trial-ready case before opening statements; a prior multi-plaintiff settlement exceeded $187M; next trial was set for April 2026. Verified via The New Lede.plaintiff	—	—	Read ↗
Apr 14, 2025	Global settlement	Syngenta and MDL plaintiffs' lead counsel signed a Letter Agreement 'intended to resolve' the federal paraquat MDL (5,800+ active cases at the time); terms and dollar amount NOT disclosed — no documented settlement figure exists. A signed Master Settlement Agreement followed in August 2025. Does not cover California/state-court cases. Verified via The New Lede (environmental-health journalism outlet).	—	—	Read ↗
Apr 17, 2024	Ruling	Judge Rosenstengel issued the MDL-3004 Daubert orders 'Order Relating to Dr. Wells' and 'Order Relating to Dismissal of Cases' (both dated 2024-04-17 on the S.D. Ill. court's MDL page), excluding plaintiffs' sole causation expert Dr. Martin Wells as unreliable and granting judgment against the first four bellwether cases; the court then ordered selection of a new bellwether pool. Order dates verified on the court's own site; details corroborated by AboutLawsuits (secondary tracker, flagged).defense	—	—	Read ↗

Roblox Child Exploitation

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Dec 12, 2025	Ruling	JPML transfer order (MDL No. 3166, Doc. 98) created In re: Roblox Corporation Child Sexual Exploitation and Assault Litigation, centralizing 31 actions from 12 districts (with 48 noticed tag-alongs, ~80 total actions) in the Northern District of California before Chief Judge Richard Seeborg, over opposition from defendants Roblox, Discord, Snap, and Meta; the order notes Louisiana, Kentucky, and Texas AG suits and a Florida AG criminal investigation.	—	—	Read ↗

Bard PowerPort Catheter

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Nov 14, 2025	Ruling	MDL 3081 (D. Ariz., Judge David G. Campbell) CMO No. 41 adjusted the bellwether trial schedule after the parties filed 52 Rule 702/56 motions: Cook (23-cv-01975) Apr 21-May 8, 2026; Miller (24-cv-00621) Jul 7-24, 2026; Lattanzio (24-cv-00680) Aug 18-Sep 4, 2026; Divelbliss (23-cv-01627) Oct 13-30, 2026; Hicks (23-cv-01703) Dec 1-18, 2026; Sorensen (23-cv-02557) Feb 2-19, 2027. Verified from the court order itself (Doc 6028).	—	—	Read ↗

PFAS Water Contamination Lawsuit

3 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Aug 15, 2025	Ruling	Personal-injury track status: by order of 2025-08-15 the court vacated the first PI bellwether trial (kidney cancer, 25 selected plaintiffs, set for Oct 2025) amid a wave of unfiled claims, opening a filing window closing 2025-09-05 (CMO 35); no PI verdict and no global PI settlement exist as of mid-2026, with ~15,000+ PI cases pending. SOURCE CAVEAT: only law-firm tracker coverage found (ELG Law blog) — flagged as last-resort sourcing.mixed	—	—	Read ↗
Mar 29, 2024	Partial settlement	Judge Gergel (D.S.C., AFFF MDL-2873) granted final approval of 3M's public water supplier settlement: $10.3B pre-tax present value, up to $12.5B nominal, paid over 13 years starting Q3 2024, covering U.S. public water suppliers that have detected or may detect PFAS. Verified via 3M's official press release.plaintiff	$10,300,000,000	—	Read ↗
Jun 2, 2023	Partial settlement	Chemours, DuPont and Corteva announced a $1.185B settlement fund resolving PFAS drinking-water claims of a defined class of U.S. public water systems (Chemours ~$592M, DuPont ~$400M, Corteva ~$193M), subject to D.S.C. court approval in AFFF MDL-2873; excludes state/federally owned systems and most lower Cape Fear Basin systems. Verified via DuPont's official press release. (Final court approval followed in Feb 2024 per SEC filings — approval date not independently fetched.)plaintiff	$1,185,000,000	—	Read ↗

Catholic Church Abuse Lawsuit

3 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

$650,406

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Apr 22, 2025	Partial settlement	Diocese of Buffalo announced a monetary settlement in its Chapter 11 case: the diocese, its parishes, and Catholic affiliates will pay $150 million to abuse survivors (diocese statement; insurer contributions negotiated separately and later increased the total plan value).plaintiff	$150,000,000	—	Read ↗
Dec 4, 2024	Bankruptcy	Chief Judge Martin Glenn (Bankr. S.D.N.Y.) confirmed the Diocese of Rockville Centre's Chapter 11 plan with a $323 million survivor settlement — $234.8M from the diocese/parishes/affiliates, ~$85M from insurers, $3M from creditors' committee counsel — the largest diocesan bankruptcy settlement nationwide at confirmation.plaintiff	$323,000,000	—	Read ↗
Oct 16, 2024	Global settlement	Archdiocese of Los Angeles agreed to pay $880 million to resolve 1,353 childhood sexual abuse claims filed under California AB 218 (claims dating to the 1940s) — described by plaintiffs' counsel as the largest single child sex abuse settlement with a Catholic archdiocese; payouts expected 2025-2026.plaintiff	$880,000,000	$650,406	Read ↗

Juvenile Detention Center Abuse

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

$588,235

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Apr 4, 2025	Global settlement	Los Angeles County announced a $4 billion tentative settlement of more than 6,800 sexual abuse claims at Probation Department juvenile facilities and MacLaren Children's Center, dating back to 1959 (most from the 1980s-2000s), brought under AB 218 — the largest settlement of its kind in U.S. history; Claims Board review Apr 7 and Board of Supervisors consideration Apr 29, 2025, with payments running through FY 2050-51.plaintiff	$4,000,000,000	$588,235	Read ↗

LDS Church Abuse

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Apr 3, 2025	Ruling	U.S. District Judge Tena Campbell (D. Utah) granted summary judgment to insurers National Union and ACE, ruling they owed the LDS Church no duty to defend or indemnify for its mid-trial 2018 settlement of the Doe-1 (Michael Jensen) West Virginia child sexual abuse suit; church appealed to the 10th Circuit (No. 25-4049). Settlement amount is sealed in court records; the widely reported $32 million figure comes from the FLOODLIT abuse database (advocacy source — flagged, not court-verified).	$32,000,000	—	Read ↗

Talcum Powder

2 events

Bellwether W–L

1–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

$4,690,000,000

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Mar 31, 2025	Bankruptcy	Red River Talc Chapter 11 (J&J's third two-step attempt) dismissed; 68,435 cases pending in the MDL as of July 2026.plaintiff	—	—	Read ↗
Jul 12, 2018	Bellwether verdict	Ingham v. Johnson & Johnson: $4.69B verdict to 22 plaintiffs, later reduced to $2.1B on appeal — headline verdicts routinely shrink.plaintiff	$4,690,000,000	—	Read ↗

Exactech Knee Recall

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Oct 30, 2024	Bankruptcy	Exactech filed Chapter 11 in the US Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware (Oct 30, 2024), citing product-liability claims from ~2,600 patients over its recalled knee/hip/ankle implants; recalls and litigation had cost ~$20 million over the prior 12 months. Existing investors provided $85 million in funding and served as stalking-horse bidder for substantially all assets. The filing stayed MDL 3044 litigation against the company.	—	—	Read ↗

Zantac / Ranitidine (NDMA Cancer)

3 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

$25,000

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Oct 9, 2024	Global settlement	GSK announced agreements with 10 plaintiff firms representing ~80,000 claimants (93% of pending US state-court Zantac cases) to pay up to $2.2 billion in aggregate, with full implementation expected by end of H1 2025; GSK admitted no liability. GSK also agreed to pay $70 million to resolve the Valisure qui tam complaint. Verified from GSK's own press statement.	$2,200,000,000	—	Read ↗
Apr 23, 2024	Partial settlement	Sanofi agreed to pay more than $100 million to settle ~4,000 Zantac cancer suits in state courts outside Delaware — the first major resolution in the litigation, averaging more than $25,000 per claim per Bloomberg's reporting (republished by Insurance Journal, Apr 23, 2024; deal announced earlier that month). Sanofi denied liability; 70,000+ suits then remained, mostly in Delaware.	$100,000,000	$25,000	Read ↗
Dec 6, 2022	Ruling	MDL 2924 (S.D. Fla., Judge Robin L. Rosenberg) omnibus Daubert order (Doc 6120, 341 pages): ALL defendants' Daubert motions on general causation GRANTED and defendants' summary judgment motion GRANTED — plaintiffs 'fail to produce admissible primary evidence of general causation' that ranitidine causes cancer, ending the federal MDL claims. Verified from the court order itself.defense	—	—	Read ↗

Hernia Mesh (Davol/C.R. Bard)

4 events

Bellwether W–L

2–1

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

$377,500

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Oct 2, 2024	Global settlement	Becton Dickinson announced (Oct 2, 2024 press release) an agreement resolving the vast majority of Bard hernia mesh litigation — the federal MDL 2846 in S.D. Ohio and the Rhode Island consolidated docket, 21,000+ filed suits. Amount NOT publicly disclosed; BD said it sits within its existing product-litigation reserve and pays out over a multi-year structure, with individual plaintiff opt-ins required. (Media estimates of >$1B were not verifiable from a fetchable primary source, so no amount is reported.)	—	—	Read ↗
Nov 9, 2023	Bellwether verdict	Third MDL 2846 bellwether (Stinson v. Bard, PerFix Plug): jury found Bard liable on failure to warn, strict liability and negligence and awarded $500,000 in compensatory damages; no punitive damages. Stinson's mesh was implanted in 2015 and removed in 2017 after it 'curled up in a ball of scarred tissue.'plaintiff	$500,000	—	Read ↗
Apr 15, 2022	Bellwether verdict	Second MDL 2846 bellwether (Milanesi v. Bard, Ventralex): S.D. Ohio jury awarded $255,000 — $250,000 on negligent design defect plus $5,000 loss of consortium — while rejecting strict liability, failure-to-warn, misrepresentation and gross-misconduct claims. First plaintiff win in the MDL.plaintiff	$255,000	—	Read ↗
Sep 8, 2021	Bellwether verdict	First MDL 2846 bellwether (Johns v. Bard, Ventralight ST) ended in a complete defense verdict in the S.D. Ohio before Judge Sargus; the jury found for Bard on all counts, and Judge Sargus denied the plaintiff's new-trial motion on Dec 21, 2021. Fetched source confirms 'defense verdict in September 2021'; day-level date per trial coverage.defense	—	—	Read ↗

CPAP Cancer

2 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Apr 29, 2024	Global settlement	Philips announced (Apr 29, 2024) a $1.1 billion total resolution of US Respironics personal-injury and medical-monitoring litigation; the official court settlement site confirms $1.075 billion for personal-injury claims in MDL 3014 and Massachusetts state court (~58,000 registrants; injuries diagnosed by Apr 29, 2024 qualify). Official FAQ gives illustrative averages of ~$26,875-$35,000 per qualifying case depending on claimant count; payments funded from cash flow, expected 2025; no admission of liability.	$1,075,000,000	—	Read ↗
Sep 7, 2023	Partial settlement	Philips announced resolution of the US economic-loss class litigation in MDL 3014 (Sept 7, 2023 press release): predefined cash awards by device type, extended warranties, and a return bonus; Philips' release cites a EUR 575 million Q1 2023 provision and explicitly excludes personal injury and medical monitoring claims. The commonly cited $479 million settlement figure is from secondary press coverage (Drugwatch), not Philips' own release — flagged accordingly.	$479,000,000	—	Read ↗

Suboxone Tooth Decay

1 events

Bellwether W–L

0–0

Plaintiff–defense

Avg. verdict

—

Avg. settlement / claimant

—

Headline verdict vs per-claimant settlement

—

Date	Event	Record	Headline amount	Per claimant avg.	Source
Feb 2, 2024	Ruling	JPML transfer order (MDL No. 3092, Doc. 50) centralized 15 Suboxone film tooth-decay actions from five districts in the Northern District of Ohio before Judge J. Philip Calabrese, renaming the litigation 'In re: Suboxone (Buprenorphine/Naloxone) Film Products Liability Litigation'; 11 additional related actions already noticed as potential tag-alongs.	—	—	Read ↗